// BULLISH
Highest conviction next 10x - CW laser chokepoint for MRVL, JBL, hyperscalers, undervalued at $300M vs peers in billions
"$SIVE has gotta be the highest upside stock I've seen in this market since $AXTI?"
Thesis hit +316-837% YTD; latent InP reactor capacity, Point72 buying
"$IQE up 837% YTD"
Extreme conviction - monopoly in Photonic-SOI for 100% of next-gen AI DCs, up 302% YTD
"This is what happens when you find a true monopoly"
Strong conviction - MBE duopoly with Veco, MSFT Quantum secret customer, up 258% YTD
"$ALRIB is starting to grow on me"
Center of silicon photonics testing bottleneck, multiple hyperscaler qualifications, up 100%+ week
"$AEHR is cooking"
High conviction - largest 800G/1.6T capacity in America, up 200%+, endless hyperscaler orders
"$AAOI is up extreme amounts"
Hit 100%+ return in 40 days, forward P/E compelling for CPO ramp
"my 16th 100%+ return this year alone: $TSEM"
Same as SIVE OTC ticker, extreme conviction laser chokepoint
"$SIVEF, the laser source for $JBL and $MRVL"
Most important foundry outside TSM, critical in SpaceX/AI/CPO; up 10% daily limits
"I am long Win Semi (3105.TWO) at $4.1B MC"
Hit 100%+ YTD winner
"Nitto Boseki"
Duplicate - MBE duopoly, MSFT Quantum secret customer
"$ALRIB looks like it's on a slow victory march"
Duplicate reference - high conviction MBE duopoly play
"$ALRIB is starting to grow on me"
Bullish on CPO push and 800V transition, driving photonics supercycle
"$NVDA actively pushing to 800V, and today was a pretty big signal"
Bullish - supplier to Marvell, Celestial's interposers, 30K optical engines shipping
"$POET is up 20.5% premarket today after a 19.32% gain"
Do-everything compounder with Celestial CPO/photonics roadmap, NVDA investment
"$MRVL are the two 'They Do Everything' longs"
Legendary thesis hit 1000%+, but recent 50M share dilution risk warned; still structurally bullish on InP
"My most legendary thesis to date"
Bullish - glass core substrates chokepoint, LIDE partnership with ONTO
"$LPK - (glass core substrates) +20.69%"
CPO program bullish for SIVE; called long name
"$AMD and $GFS CPO announcement is probably bigger than markets expect"
CPO foundry ecosystem anchor, direct confirmation of SIVE laser supply
"Did $GFS give the first direct confirmation about $SIVE"
Photonics supercycle winner, backlog into 2028, NVDA invested $2B
"$LITE backlog order fill into 2028 signals extreme demand"
Thesis hit 100%+ YTD, compelling forward P/E, analysts upgrading
"$RPI up 44.76% after earnings"
Bullish - bottleneck shifting to CPUs, AGI CPU to add $15B revenue
"Bullish on $ARM, given the new bottleneck shifting back to CPUs"
Derisked Neocloud with NVDA funding, long thesis playing out
"$NBIS is up there with $ORCL and $MSFT looking derisked"
Steady compounder thesis on transformer bottleneck, up 30% in weeks
"Boring names like $HPS.A end up cooking hardest"
Bullish - 30%+ short interest, NVO partnership, peptide arc, undervalued
"It's still pretty incredible $HIMS is down 44%"
Bullish on TPU ecosystem, ChatGPT TAM expansion
"$MRVL in talks to develop $GOOGL TPU"
Bullish - Anthropic trained on Trainium, ecosystem beneficiary
"This is big for Amazon's ecosystem from $MRVL to $AAOI due to Anthropic"
Using SIVE lasers for 1.6T optical transceivers
"$JBL to use $SIVE Lasers for their optical transceivers"
Photonics supercycle winner, do-everything compounder, NVDA $2B investment
"$COHR and $MRVL are the two 'They Do Everything' longs"
Bullish on memory supercycle, took stake in Nanya
"two of the largest beneficiaries of the photonics and memory supercycles"
Memory supercycle beneficiary, DRAM ETF holding
"Rallied"
Backbone of semis/AI, good outlook
"$TSM - backbone of semis/ai"
Buying opportunity at $360, Quantum secret customer of ALRIB
"Thank you $MSFT and $META. The selloff overreaction presented a buying opportunity"
Buying opportunity at $525, signed $27B deal
"Meta hit $525"
Bullish on stablecoins theme, hit 100%+ return
"bullish on $CRCL and Stablecoins"
Korea ETF with Samsung/SK Hynix, hit 100%+
"$EWY"
Good switchgear long mentioned
"$POWL was another good switchgear long"
Favorite compounder in optical interconnects
"Compounders: $MRVL, $SMTC"
Long for 4D Physical AI + World Models, LG investment
"$AEVA was my long for 4D Physical AI"
Obvious long in wartime
"Honestly... the most obvious ideas like long $LNG"
Oil long in wartime
"Or going long on $CVX"
Primary tungsten stock in Vietnam, up 168%
"$MSR Masan - Primary tungsten stock in Vietnam"
US rare earths national security importance
"$USAR to $MP are incredibly important"
US rare earths national security importance
"$USAR to $MP are incredibly important"
Genuinely great memory ETF
"$DRAM is a genuinely great ETF"
Potential upstream LITE supplier at $34M MC
"$P4O does look like a potential upstream $LITE supplier"
Up 60%+, winner mentioned
"$OSS did end up 60%+"
Foxconn optical packaging arm for NVDA CPO, undervalued at $1.4B
"Taiwan $NVDA CPO supply chain ide #1: Shunsin"
Expected to double, AVGO photonics ecosystem
"I expect PCL Technologies (4977) to double as well"
Winner in optical transceiver bottleneck
"Unimicron (TPE: 3037)"
Long earlier in year, SNDK took $1B stake
"Nanya was my long earlier in the year"
Interesting - MLA dominant + IC test sockets, no debt
"Enplas (6961) at ~$985M seems kinda interesting"
Quantum dot laser up 226% YTD
"quantum dot like QD Laser (TYO: 6613) up 226% YTD"
Up 15.93% YTD outperforming mega caps
"Kadokawa YTD: 15.93%"
Bottleneck of the bottleneck for InP substrates, $169M MC
"NCI is the bottleneck of the bottleneck"
Back close to ATH, Tesla AI Chips + memory
"Samsung, SK Hynix both back close to ATHs"
Memory supercycle winner, back to ATH
"SK Hynix both back close to ATHs"
Price hike for foundry, bullish
"$UMC = price hike for foundry. foundries go brrr"
Good earnings outlook, capex go brrr
"$ASML, $TSM earnings = Good Outlook"
Listed as 100%+ YTD winner
"$GDRZF"
Named as implicit beneficiary of Defense Production Act for advanced conductors
"$AMSC - HTS Wires (advanced conductors), power electronics"
Named as beneficiary for advanced conductors
"$PLPC - advanced conductors"
Named as beneficiary for transmission
"$ATKR - transmission"
Mentioned as LIDE partner for glass core mass production
"Biggest known partner is $ONTO"
Small mean reversion position, not high conviction
"this is not high conviction by any means"
Glass core substrate leader mentioned in CPO ecosystem
"$GLW leads glass core substrate vs. KCC and LX Glass"
Positive byproduct of Blue Origin failure
"byproduct $RKLB"
Mentioned in CPO ecosystem/packaging, lower margin than Shunsin
"Compared to $FN or $ASX that trades in the"
CPO testing play, listed in ecosystem
"$KEYS, $ASE, and $ATEYY are popular ones ones in this bottleneck"
CPO packaging play, mentioned in ecosystem
"$ASX to"
CPO testing/packaging play
"$ATEYY - $130.4B"
Small mean reversion position
"I do have short term positions at $22"
CW laser company in ecosystem mapping
"CW Lasers: $SIVE, $MTSI, $AAOI"
CPO testing bottleneck beneficiary
"$FORM (helps that ficontec left), $AEHR"
Large cap testing exposure mentioned
"Then large cap Cap - $TER, Advantest"
Positive mention for HIMS partnership
"$NVO de-risking + partnership"
Overvalued but respected for Elon execution; bullish on Optimus ramp
"Yes, $TSLA looks overvalued by every"
Positive on gold card, fintech rally play
"the $HOOD gold card is sexy"
Mentioned as beginning recovery, down YTD
"$RDDT beginning their recoveries today"
Missed call options on market maker
"I completely forgot to take call options on market makers like $VIRT"
ETF holding with positive performance
"$ENVX: +21.30%"
Energy directed weapons beneficiary
"$LASR and HPM"
Could buy SIVE cheaply; cites lasers as bottleneck
"would be smart for a competitor like $AVGO to buy $MRVL upstream light source"
Triggered space satellite megacycle
"Triggered by $PL"
Space satellite megacycle follower
"$BKSY / $SATL / $SPIR"
Space satellite follower
"$BKSY / $SATL / $SPIR"
Space satellite follower
"$BKSY / $SATL / $SPIR"
Buying back after crash mentioned as idea
"Or others like $ETH or $IBIT here might not be the worst idea"
Buying back after crash idea
"$ETH or $IBIT here might not be the worst idea"
Neocloud beneficiary of spillover
"bullish for the Neocloud segment like $NBIS (and even $CRWV)"
Aluminum smelting beneficiary
"$CNEX - Smelting process for aluminum"
Aluminum beneficiary
"$AA"
Defense beneficiary
"$CVX and $LMT"
Stargate deal mentioned, derisked comparison
"$NBIS is up there with $ORCL and $MSFT looking derisked"
Memory ETF holding
"$WDC - 4.77%"
Sensor play for Tesla Optimus
"$VPG. This was a sensor play for $TSLA Optimus Ramp"
Upstream LITE supplier mapping
"Plan Optik $P4O ... Teledyne $TDY"
ETF holding
"$QURE - $17.21"
ETF holding
"$MITK - $13.9"
Rare earth powders play
"$ALOY - Rare earth powders"
Scandium lightweight metals
"$NB - Scandium"
Upstream rare earths
"$ARA - Upstream"
Frontran for halving
"$MSTR for halving"
ETF holding favorite
"$LPK.DE - 6.59 EUR"
CPO wafer testing exposure
"MPI (6223)"
CPO wafer testing exposure
"MA-tek (3587)"
CPO wafer testing exposure
"MSScorps (6830)"
Listed in photonics supply chain
"2455 TWSE: Visual photonics"
Listed in photonics supply chain
"3017 TWSE: Asial Vital"
Photonics supply chain
"3363 TEPX: Foci"
Laser supply chain
"3450 TWSE: Elite Advanced Laser"
Listed in photonics/memory
"5289 TPEX: Innodisk"
CW laser chokepoint tierlist
"LuxNet (4979.TWO): $1.7B"
Optical transceiver winner
"WUS Printed Circuit (TPE: 2316)"
Optical transceiver winner
"Zhen Ding Tech (TPE: 4958)"
Optical transceiver winner
"Gold Circuit Electronics (TPE: 2368)"
International equity liked
"international equities like $SIVE, $IQE, Macronix"
Memory ETF holding
"Winbond - 2.4%"
Listed in photonics supply chain
"268A TSEJ: Rigaku"
Listed in photonics supply chain
"6777 TSEJ: Santek"
Major chokepoint (ABF) - hopes they don't give into activists
"really hope Ajinomoto doesn't give into these activist shareholders"
Listed in CPO laser source landscape
"Furukawa Electric (TYO: 5801)"
Memory ETF holding
"Kioxia - 4.86%"
Large cap testing exposure
"Advantest (6857)"
Laser source in CPO landscape
"Yuanjie Semiconductor (SHA: 688498)"
Optical transceiver listed in CPO landscape
"Zhongji Innolight (SZSE: 300308)"
CW laser chokepoint tierlist
"Suzhou Everbright: $5.95B"
CW laser chokepoint tierlist
"Henan Shijia"
Space optical ground infrastructure beneficiary
"$EOS.ASX (operating stations at Mt. Stromlo"
Optical ground infrastructure
"$SKPJF (TYO: 9412)"
Up 75% on China export controls
"$ALM up 75% this past 3 months"
Rare earths separation
"$UURAF- Separation of rare earths"
ETF holding favorite
"$TRT - $5.88"
ETF holding favorite
"$HGRAF - $4.49"
ETF holding
"$ASPI - $4.2"
ETF holding
"$EONR - $11.79"
ETF holding
"$EQR.AX - .315 AUD"
ETF holding
"$WATT - $15.8"
Week 1 ETF gainer
"$ENAFF: +31.58%"
Week 1 ETF gainer
"$AL2SI: +25.44%"
Personalized AI medicine potential
"Combining $HIMS to $TEM has immense potential"
CHIPS Act funding recipient
"$MRAM ($210m)"
CHIPS Act funding recipient
"$QUBT ($1.65B)"
CHIPS Act funding recipient
"$AKTS ($920m)"
CHIPS Act funding recipient
"$PDFS ($1.35B)"
CHIPS Act funding recipient
"$ATOM ($177M)"
CHIPS Act funding recipient
"$BLG ($34m)"
Optical transceiver winner
"$SANM (US)"
Optical transceiver winner
"$TTMI (US)"